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May 2026 Non-Farm Payrolls Preview: 4 Scenarios for Friday's Jobs Report and What Each Means for the Fed, Markets, and Your Portfolio
Markets

May 2026 Non-Farm Payrolls Preview: 4 Scenarios for Friday's Jobs Report and What Each Means for the Fed, Markets, and Your Portfolio

The May 2026 Non-Farm Payrolls report , due Friday June 6 at 8:30 AM ET, is expected to show around 78,000 jobs added (consensus range 65K-95K), down from April's 115K, with the unemployment rate stea...

FOMC June 16-17 2026 Meeting: 4 Dissenters, 98% Hold Odds, and the Dot Plot That Could Reset the Cut Path
Markets

FOMC June 16-17 2026 Meeting: 4 Dissenters, 98% Hold Odds, and the Dot Plot That Could Reset the Cut Path

The June 16-17, 2026 FOMC meeting is widely expected to hold rates at 3.50%-3.75%, with Polymarket at 98.3% no-change and CME FedWatch at 97-99%. The real story is the dot plot: the March SEP still im...

OPEC+ June 7 Meeting: 188,000 bpd July Oil Hike Despite Iran War
Markets

OPEC+ June 7 Meeting: 188,000 bpd July Oil Hike Despite Iran War

OPEC+ will almost certainly approve a third consecutive monthly output hike of roughly 188,000 barrels per day when its seven remaining members meet on Sunday, June 7, 2026, three Reuters sources say,...

Stock Market Week Ahead June 1-5 2026: ISM PMI, Big Earnings, and the Fed FOMC Countdown
Markets

Stock Market Week Ahead June 1-5 2026: ISM PMI, Big Earnings, and the Fed FOMC Countdown

The first trading week of June 2026 stacks four macro events and seven major earnings reports into five sessions: ISM Manufacturing PMI on Monday, JOLTS job openings and Palo Alto Networks on Tuesday,...

Federal Reserve Interest Rate Forecast 2026: What Experts Predict
Markets

Federal Reserve Interest Rate Forecast 2026: What Experts Predict

The Federal Reserve is at a pivotal crossroads in 2026. With Kevin Warsh sworn in as the new Fed chair, inflation still above the 2% target, and a job market showing signs of weakness, the question is...

Trump Tariffs 2026: Impact on US Economy and Consumer Prices
Markets

Trump Tariffs 2026: Impact on US Economy and Consumer Prices

President Donald Trump's tariff policy has reshaped the US economy in the most dramatic trade policy shift in over a century. With the Supreme Court striking down key tariffs, new levies threatened on...

US-Iran Conflict 2026: Strait of Hormuz Crisis Explained for Americans
Markets

US-Iran Conflict 2026: Strait of Hormuz Crisis Explained for Americans

The United States and Iran are in the middle of a devastating war that has entered its 88th day. The conflict has disrupted global oil shipments through the Strait of Hormuz, sent gasoline prices soar...